Working notes for June 5th Master Class presentation to the IFPEN-School Paris
Summary: The thesis of this presentation is (a) that the combinations of technologies, operations and institutional arrangements which today define the transport sector are so grossly inefficient, inappropriate and so thoroughly locked into the system, that only a major paradigm change will be capable of shaking them up. Our unexpected good luck is (b) that such a tectonic pattern change is currently in full swing. However, as often happens, they are not broadly spotted or understood. And (c) this opens up an unexpected and most welcome opportunity.
There can be no doubt that (d) our uppermost public policy target today has to be the planetary emergency (global warming, resource depletion and species extinctions). Tragically (e) the reality of present practices is that this message has still to get through. Under these circumstances the imperative first step is to become aware of it and then to seek its implications, which is in fact the goal of this presentation.
In the case of our sector, (f) the critical link between transport and climate is energy, and this from two strategic perspectives. First (g) the enormous and as yet largely untapped potential for major near-term advances, at relatively low cost. Even more decisive is the enormous near-term potential of the transition from fossil fuels to renewables in the transport sector. This is the lifeline of the future of our planet, no less. And the message should be taken to the December UN COP21 Climate Change Conference in Paris.
Presentation derived from the author’s work in progress on a forthcoming book, “Convergence: Toward a General Theory of Transport in Cities”, which is being presented, discussed and critiqued in a series of international conferences, peer reviews, workshops and media events over 2015. The author welcomes critical comments and suggestions on any part of this presentation
In-process presentation outline:
Transportation, Energy and the New Mobility Paradigm: 2015-2020
- Do we have a problem?
- The Big Sleep – 1975-2015 – and its exorbitant costs
- Beg pardon, but what is an “Uber”?
- Happy Birthday Dr. Moore
- Convergence: Toward a General Theory of Transport in Cities
SAY GOODBYE TO OLD MOBILITY
- Mobility in an Age of Turbulence
- Gross Systemic Inefficiency
- Failure to Serve the Transportation Majority
- Playing around with the environment
- The Role of the car in the city (it’s not about to go away)
- Unaddressed fossil fuel dependence, and their high costs
- The Old Mobility Energy Quest: Systems, Engines, Fuels, TDM
THE PARADIGM SHIFT: 2015-2020
- The World Climate Emergency: Start Here!
- No time to wait
- The Climate/Transport/Energy Vector
- Kuhn’s Paradigm Shift
- New Mobility Paradigm: The Seven Building Blocks
- Key actors shaping the paradigm change
- Potential advantages of the new paradigm
- Potential threats/problems
- World Cities Showing the Way
- Citizens Mobility Forum
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This will be followed by an afternoon presentation by Dr. Robert Ayers, Exernomics: On Energy, Economy and Growth. See https://ruayres.wordpress.com/. Further details on presentation to follow here.
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About the IFPEN School:
The Institut Français du Pétrole Énergies Nouvelles – http://www.ifpenergiesnouvelles.com/ – is a public-sector research and training center. It has an international scope, covering the fields of energy, transport and the environment. IFPEN focuses on:
- providing solutions to take up the challenges facing society in terms of energy and the climate, promoting the emergence of a sustainable energy mix;
- creating wealth and jobs by supporting French and European economic activity, and the competitiveness of related industrial sectors.
The IFP School – http://www.ifpenergiesnouvelles.com/IFPEN/In-brief – trains high-level professionals who can respond to today’s and tomorrow’s energy challenges, thus satisfying the needs of the energy and transportation sectors. It is orgnaized into four Centers representing the technical skills specific to the various programs:
– Refining, Petrochemicals, Gas
– IC Engines and Hydrocarbon Utilizations
– Economics and Management.
The present seminar is organised by their Center for Economics and Management.
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About the editor:
9, rue Gabillot, 69003 Lyon France
Bio: Trained as a development economist, Eric Britton is a public entrepreneur specializing in the field of sustainability and social justice. Professor of Sustainable Development, Economy and Democracy at the Institut Supérieur de Gestion (Paris), he is also MD of EcoPlan Association, an independent advisory network providing strategic counsel for government and business on policy and decision issues involving complex systems, social-technical change and sustainable development. Founding editor of World Streets, his latest work focuses on the subject of equity, economy and efficiency in city transport and public space, and helping governments to ask the right questions -- and in the process, find practical solutions to urgent climate, mobility, life quality and job creation issues. More at: http://wp.me/PsKUY-2p7